Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.075440 0.087561 0.100814 0.116357 0.134058 0.153561 0.176650
2025-01-26 0.060370 0.077229 0.097305 0.122864 0.154414 0.191955 0.239865
2025-02-02 0.049640 0.069188 0.094268 0.128538 0.173837 0.231316 0.309371
2025-02-09 0.038624 0.058287 0.085301 0.124662 0.179979 0.254280 0.360813
2025-02-16 0.031433 0.050980 0.079542 0.123602 0.188952 0.281186 0.419771
2025-02-23 0.025459 0.044182 0.073161 0.120285 0.193707 0.302085 0.471919
2025-03-02 0.021021 0.038867 0.068003 0.117740 0.198792 0.323377 0.526114
2025-03-09 0.018209 0.035676 0.065610 0.118990 0.209535 0.353793 0.596464
2025-03-16 0.015161 0.031475 0.060814 0.115438 0.211794 0.370753 0.646855
2025-03-23 0.013923 0.030385 0.061237 0.120819 0.229456 0.413979 0.743155
2025-03-30 0.012288 0.028211 0.059324 0.121659 0.239123 0.444492 0.820625
2025-04-06 0.010513 0.025416 0.055793 0.118945 0.241932 0.463226 0.879207
2025-04-13 0.009082 0.023130 0.053003 0.117432 0.247056 0.486967 0.949553
2025-04-20 0.008546 0.022762 0.054102 0.123839 0.268044 0.541335 1.079596
2025-04-27 0.007989 0.022239 0.054792 0.129473 0.288075 0.595613 1.213850
2025-05-04 0.006804 0.019942 0.051218 0.125531 0.288247 0.612099 1.278419
2025-05-11 0.005978 0.018387 0.049087 0.124444 0.294155 0.640102 1.367125
2025-05-18 0.005137 0.016613 0.046146 0.121097 0.294791 0.657527 1.436288
2025-05-25 0.004457 0.015135 0.043692 0.118531 0.296791 0.677758 1.512432
2025-06-01 0.004045 0.014351 0.042874 0.119786 0.307475 0.716810 1.629718
2025-06-08 0.003480 0.012971 0.040262 0.116211 0.306567 0.731071 1.696394
2025-06-15 0.003326 0.012871 0.041118 0.121625 0.327481 0.794240 1.871114
2025-06-22 0.003022 0.012203 0.040279 0.122469 0.337400 0.833869 1.997890